Speculative capital and currency carry trades
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Crash-Neutral Currency Carry Trades
Currency carry trades exploiting violations of uncovered interest rate parity in G10 currencies deliver significant excess returns with annualized Sharpe equal to or greater than those of equity market factors (19902012). Using data on out-of-the-money foreign exchange options, I compute returns to crash-hedged portfolios and demonstrate that the high returns to carry trades are not due to peso...
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This paper studies crash risk of currencies for funding‐constrained speculators in an attempt to shed new light on the major currency puzzles. Our starting point is the currency carry trade, which consists of selling low interest rate currencies—“funding currencies”—and investing in high interest rate currencies—“investment currencies.” While the uncovered interest rate parity (UIP) hypothesize...
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Foreign exchange market efficiency is commonly investigated by Fama-regression tests of uncovered interest parity (UIP). In this paper, we conjecture a speculative UIP relationship which implies that exchange rate changes comprise a time-varying risk component in addition to the forward premium. This suggests that the forward premium anomaly reported in previous research potentially stems from ...
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This paper examines the role of carry trade and momentum trading strategies and their implications for the magnitude of the forward premium anomaly. The formal analysis uses a logistic smooth transition regression, with transition variables related to the di¤erent currency trading strategies. The hypothesis of uncovered interest parity is found to hold in an upper regime where carry trades appe...
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We build a monetary model to show how expected revaluations lead to the instability of a pegged exchange rate regime. This model assumes current account convertibility and some degree of capital control, and fundamentally sound domestic policies and economy, as is the case in China. The model demonstrates that market-oriented interest rates can act as an automatic stabilizer to ease revaluation...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Financial Economics
سال: 2011
ISSN: 0304-405X
DOI: 10.1016/j.jfineco.2010.07.006